Structure before signals
SwapHunt studies liquidity, behavior, and structural patterns inside crypto markets. The goal is not prediction. The goal is to understand why markets move the way they do.
Reading markets instead of predicting them.
If you're trying to understand how markets actually behave:
Start here if you want to see how structure plays out in real markets.
Daily Note · 17 Jul: Chips Bled Into Crypto
A chipmaker rout dragged BTC and ETH lower over the last 24 hours, but spot ETF inflows kept extending a three-day streak underneath the selloff.
Read article →Articles
If you want to see the ideas applied in real markets, start here.
Long-form observations on market structure, trading psychology, and behavior patterns. Written to explain, not to persuade.
Browse articles →Frameworks
If you're new, this is where the model starts.
SwapHunt is built around a simple idea: make the same decision the same way every time. Context over conclusions, structure over noise.
Read about the approach →Latest articles
If you're browsing, these are recent notes:
Daily Note · 17 Jul: Chips Bled Into Crypto
A chipmaker rout dragged BTC and ETH lower over the last 24 hours, but spot ETF inflows kept extending a three-day streak underneath the selloff.
~6 min readHow Order Book Depth Predicts Price Direction
Order book depth reveals where liquidity is stacked, and price tends to move toward the side with less resistance. This article breaks down how to read that imbalance without over-relying on it.
~2 min readDaily Note · 16 Jul: Institutions Building While Fear Stays Extreme
Bitcoin pulled back from a monthly high while institutional plumbing kept expanding underneath - a split between short-term price action and longer-term positioning.
~2 min readDaily Note · 15 Jul: Sentiment Lagging Price Again
Majors rose 2.6-4.5% in the last 24 hours while the Fear & Greed Index barely moved off Extreme Fear, and a wave of regulatory clarity landed on the same day flows turned positive.
~6 min readHow Leverage Cascades Through DeFi: From One Protocol to Systemic Risk
Recursive leverage lets the same collateral get reused across multiple DeFi protocols, quietly linking their risk together until one liquidation triggers a chain reaction across the ecosystem.
~2 min readDaily Note · 14 Jul: Sentiment Fell, Price Didn't Follow
Fear and Greed fell to Extreme Fear and US spot Bitcoin ETFs posted their largest single-day outflow of the month, but BTC price barely moved. The gap between sentiment and price is the story.
SwapHunt evolves quietly.
Most readers don’t read this once.
They return to it over time.
The weekly note
One note a week on where structure and sentiment diverge. No signals, no shilling.