Market Structure Research

Structure before signals

SwapHunt studies liquidity, behavior, and structural patterns inside crypto markets. The goal is not prediction. The goal is to understand why markets move the way they do.

Reading markets instead of predicting them.

Start here if you're new

If you're trying to understand how markets actually behave:

Articles

If you want to see the ideas applied in real markets, start here.

Long-form observations on market structure, trading psychology, and behavior patterns. Written to explain, not to persuade.

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Frameworks

If you're new, this is where the model starts.

SwapHunt is built around a simple idea: make the same decision the same way every time. Context over conclusions, structure over noise.

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Latest articles

If you're browsing, these are recent notes:

~7 min read

How Governance Tokens Enable Plutocracy: When Voting Power Concentration Matters

Governance tokens are often marketed as tools for decentralized decision-making, but token-weighted voting frequently concentrates control in the hands of the largest holders, creating plutocratic outcomes.

~6 min read

How Bitcoin Dominance Shifts Predict Altseason Starts and Ends

Bitcoin dominance measures where capital is parked, not just BTC's price. Its shifts often precede altseason starts and ends before altcoin charts confirm it.

~2 min read

Daily Note · 12 Sep: Sentiment Outran the Chart

Sentiment moved faster than price over the last 24 hours, with Fear & Greed climbing while BTC stayed capped below its 20-EMA. A quiet stablecoin expansion added a second layer to the read.

~6 min read

The Mechanics of Slashing: How Proof-of-Stake Validators Lose Their Stake

Slashing is the enforcement mechanism that makes Proof-of-Stake secure - and it can cost validators a portion of their staked capital for provable protocol violations.

~2 min read

Daily Note · 10 Sep: Institutions Buy, Flows Sell

Institutional capital deepened its commitment to crypto infrastructure even as short-term ETF flows turned negative and Treasury yields kept climbing.

~2 min read

Daily Note · 9 Sep: Crypto Tracked Gold, Not Stocks

Bitcoin climbed while European equities fell on Iran-related shocks, tracking gold rather than risk assets. Sentiment eased even as price extended, and regulatory friction kept building underneath.

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They return to it over time.